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Eagles schedule analysis: Win-loss record predictions for 2024 games

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By: Brandon Lee Gowton

Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images

How do you see Philadelphia faring this season?

Now that the Philadelphia Eagles’ 2024 schedule is officially here, it’s the perfect time to predict the outcome of every single game. Some may suggest this is a useless activity. To that I say: lighten up, Francis. We’re just trying to have some fun.

Also, this projection is bound to be 100% accurate, so it’s actually pretty useful.

Last year around this time, I had the 2023 Eagles finishing with a 12-5 record. I was slightly too high on a team that ultimately finished 11-6. Of course, no one could’ve easily predicted how they got to that point by epically collapsing down the stretch.

Let’s take a look at how things might shake out this year.

Week 1 – vs. Green Bay Packers (September 6, 8:15 PM, Peacock) Friday night game in São Paolo, Brazil

I’m buying the Packers hype. After some first half growing pains last year, the youngest team in the NFL finished the season red hot. They absolutely demolished Dallas at AT&T Stadium before arguably looking like the better team in a playoff loss to San Francisco. Jordan Love looks like the real deal. I think this will be a really good and competitive game between two of the top teams in the NFC but I’m giving the edge to Green Bay, a side that is 56-27 in the Matt LaFleur era.

EAGLES LOSE: 0-1

Week 2 – vs. Atlanta Falcons (September 16, 8:15 PM, ESPN) Monday Night Football

For the third season in a row, the Eagles will undergo The Kirk Cousins Litmus Test™ in Week 2. Kinda weird how that worked out. To those somehow unfamiliar, Cousins typically struggles against the good teams and beats the bad ones. And so it’s important for the Eagles to prove they’re not a bad team by beating Cousins, who is coming off an Achilles injury. The Eagles win their true home opener comfortably, calming concerns after losing in Week 1.

EAGLES WIN: 1-1

Week 3 – at New Orleans Saints (September 22, 1:00 PM, FOX)

The Saints might be the most juiceless team in the NFL? They’re 25-28 over the past three years with no playoff appearances. They’ve kinda just been hanging around with no serious plan at quarterback. The Superdome isn’t the easiest place to play but the Eagles should be able to beat this squad.

EAGLES WIN: 2-1

Week 4 – at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (September 29, 1:00 PM, FOX)

A big test for the Eagles’ new offense under Kellen Moore: can they actually handle the blitz? Because Todd Bowles will be sure to test them in that regard. Baker Mayfield is probably due for some regression, especially after losing his offensive coordinator. In a revenge game moment, I’ll say Devin White picks him off in this one.

EAGLES WIN: 3-1

Week 5 – BYE

It’s not the ridiculous Week 4 bye that the Eagles had in 2016 but it’s not much better. The Eagles will have to play 13 straight games to end the regular season. It’ll be 17 straight to win the Super Bowl if they don’t get the No. 1 seed.

Week 6 – vs. Cleveland Browns (October 13, 1:00 PM, FOX)

The Browns’ defense probably won’t be as good as it was last year since defense isn’t as sticky year-to-year. But they still have Myles Garrett, who is pretty awesome. And Jim Schwartz is one of the best defensive coordinators in the NFL. But it’s hard to take this team super seriously with Deshaun Watson under center. The Eagles will take advantage of their rest advantage and win their fourth straight game.

EAGLES WIN: 4-1

Week 7 – at New York Giants (October 20, 1:00 PM, FOX)

Saquon Barkley’s return to MetLife Stadium. The Eagles are going to ride him to victory against his former team.

EAGLES WIN: 5-1

Week 8 – at Cincinnati Bengals (October 27, 4:25 PM, CBS)

Joe Burrow is scary. And I think that Cincy home crowd is better than it might get credit for.

EAGLES LOSE: 5-2

Week 9 – vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (November 3, 8:20 PM, NBC) Sunday Night Football

In the battle of Press Taylor vs. Vic Fangio, I’m taking the Eagles’ defensive coordinator to come out on top.

EAGLES WIN: 6-2

Week 10 – at Dallas Cowboys (November 10, 4:25 PM, CBS)

I’m going to copy and paste what I wrote last year: “The Eagles haven’t won at AT&T Stadium since 2017. They haven’t swept the Cowboys since 2011. So, a split is the smart bet.”

EAGLES LOSE: 6-3

Week 11 – vs. Washington Commanders (November 14, 8:15 PM, Amazon Prime Video) Thursday Night Football

The Commanders have had a nice offseason with a new regime at the helm … but there will be growing pains for Jayden Daniels. And Emmanuel Forbes is still A.J. Brown’s son.

EAGLES WIN: 7-3

Week 12 – at Los Angeles Rams (November 24, 8:20 PM, NBC) Sunday Night Football

Fangio knows how to slow down a Sean McVay offense. Especially with the advantage of a mini-bye to prepare for what the Rams are going to throw at the Eagles. There will be plenty of Philly fans in the stands in LA to help give the Eagles some crowd support on the road.

EAGLES WIN: 8-3

Week 13 – at Baltimore Ravens (December 1, 4:25, CBS)

Lamar Jackson is a very excellent regular season player.

EAGLES LOSE: 8-4

Week 14 – vs. Carolina Panthers (December 8, 1:00 PM, FOX)

It’s possible that Bryce Young just isn’t any good, right? There’s nothing about the Panthers that suggests they deserve the benefit of the doubt.

EAGLES WIN: 9-4

Week 15 – vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (December 15, 4:25 PM, FOX)

The Eagles are part of a very tough end to the season for the Steelers. It’s quite possible that Russell Wilson is cooked and Justin Fields, who is terrible, isn’t saving Pittsburgh. The Stillers haven’t won in Philly since 1965 and that’s not changing this year.

EAGLES WIN: 10-4

Week 16 – at Washington Commanders (December 22, 1:00 PM, FOX)

I’m gonna say Daniels isn’t healthy for both Commanders games and we’ll see at least one Marcus Mariota start against his previous team. Washington covers the spread to make it a little too close for comfort in a loss.

EAGLES WIN: 11-4

Week 17 – vs. Dallas Cowboys (December 29, 4:25 PM, FOX)

No repeat NFC East winner since 2004 continues this season with the Eagles beating the Cowboys to set up a division clinching scenario for Week 18.

EAGLES WIN: 12-4

Week 18 – vs. New York Giants (January 4 or 5, TBD, TBD)

This Week 18 game against the Giants will go much better for the Eagles than last season’s Week 18 game against them. It’s a season sweep to clinch the NFC East, if not the No. 1 seed.

EAGLES WIN: 13-4


FINAL RECORD: 13-4

It feels like the Eagles have too much talent not to be a pretty good football team. Adding Kellen Moore and Vic Fangio should help. I feel confident that Jalen Hurts is going to be better than he was in 2023.

Potential pitfalls include taking a step back in the trenches. The offensive line might not be elite with Jason Kelce’s departure. The pass rush could be less potent with Haason Reddick gone.

Overall, though, I like how the Eagles’ schedule shapes up for them. The early bye week isn’t ideal … but the Eagles do get the benefit of not getting on a plane after Week 12. And four of the last five are at home, priming them for a strong push into the postseason.

PLAYOFFS?!

Here’s where it gets painful. The Eagles will win one playoff game before cowardly coaching from Nick Sirianni costs them in the next matchup, setting up debate for whether he should be back or not in 2025.

“You can’t fire a head coach who’s never missed the playoffs and is 50-28!”

“But he failed to maximize his talent again and Bill Belichick is available!”

Originally posted on Bleeding Green Nation