2021 Houston Texans Projections: The Quarterbacks

What the computers have to say about how the Texans quarterbacks will fare this season.

The NFL season morphs from invisible to tangible once the season previews kick in come to July, and NFL Training camps arrive at the end of the month. All of that wanting comes to an end. You finally get what you desire. Professional football.

One of these hallmarks is the Football Outsiders Almanac, which previews each team entering the upcoming season, and provides projections and information over every skill player in the league. Football Outsiders also has a projection system called KUBIAK, utilized for fantasy football purposes to try and buck the numbers spat out by Yahoo, or ESPN, or however it is you draft. The Almanac will be available later this month. The KUBIAK projection system is out now. If you love the game, and need background to get ready for the season, both are a must have, and are extremely affordable.

Now that the background is over, let’s turn to what we are here for. To go through the KUBIAK projections for the Houston Texans to get a baseline of what they will accomplish this season. First it’s the quarterbacks. Football Outsiders didn’t include Deshaun Watson in their projections, but they included Tyrod Taylor and Davis Mills.

There isn’t much of a difference between Taylor as a passer compared to Davis Mills, considering the age gap, the amount of experience he has, and the fact that Houston is going to be bad, to really warrant Taylor playing over Mills. The model has Taylor starting almost 13 games, with Mills taking over for the other four. It’s also interesting the small number of rushing attempts Taylor has. It’s expected for Houston to utilize a Baltimore lite, sort of gap read scheme with Taylor getting more play as a runner. Yet, he’s 32 years old, and was an ineffective runner in his one game against Cincinatti last season. Both quarterbacks are projected to have terrible seasons.

This is what the computers have to say. Please enter your projections for Taylor and Mills utilizing the following format: Passing: Completions/Attempts (CMP %) Passing Yards/Passing Touchdowns/Sacks/Interceptions/Net Yards An Attempt. Rushing: Rush Attempts/Rush Yards/Rushing Touchdowns.