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Colts will face NFL’s fourth-easiest strength of schedule in 2023

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By: Kevin Hickey

The Indianapolis Colts will be looking to turn things around under a new regime, and there’s a chance they have an easier path to do so based on the strength of their schedule in 2023.

We already know the Colts’ opponents for the upcoming campaign so we can calculate both ways of looking at a team’s strength of schedule. Though flawed, the most common process is looking at a team’s list of opponents based on their performance during the previous season.

For the Colts, they will have the fourth-easiest strength of schedule, courtesy of Bills Wire.

Rank Team Record Win Pct.
1 Philadelphia Eagles 161-123-4   .566
2 Miami Dolphins 158-127-2   .554
3 New York Giants 157-129-2   .549
3 New England Patriots 156-128-3   .549
3 Dallas Cowboys 156-128-4   .549
6 New York Jets 155-129-3   .545
7 Buffalo Bills 155-131-2   .542
8 Washington Commanders 153-133-2   .535
9 Los Angeles Rams 152-133-3   .533
10 Las Vegas Raiders 150-136-2   .524
11 Arizona Cardinals 148-137-3 .  519
12 Denver Broncos 148-138-2   .517
12 Seattle Seahawks 148-138-2   .517
12 Los Angeles Chargers 149-139-0   .517
15 San Francisco 49ers 147-139-2   .514
16 Kansas City Chiefs 147-140-0 .  512
17 Cincinnati Bengals 146-140-2   .510
18 Chicago Bears 143-145-1   .497
18 Minnesota Vikings 143-145-0   .497
20 Detroit Lions 143-146-0   .495
21 Baltimore Ravens 138-147-2   .484
22 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 138-148-2   .483
23 Jacksonville Jaguars 135-148-4   .477
24 Green Bay Packers 137-151-1   .476
25 Pittsburgh Steelers 134-151-2   .470
26 Cleveland Browns 131-154-2   .460
27 Carolina Panthers 130-157-2   .453
28 Tennessee Titans 127-157-4   .448
29 Indianapolis Colts 124-162-2   .434
30 Houston Texans 123-163-2   .431
31 New Orleans Saints 122-164-3   .427
32 Atlanta Falcons 119-167-3   .417

Teams undergo massive changes every offseason so it’s somewhat of a flawed process to base a team’s strength on the previous season. So another way to look at it is through projected win totals—another somewhat flawed process.

According to Sharp Football Analysis, the Colts still have the fourth-easiest schedule based on projected win totals. So either way, the result remains the same.

Part of this is due to the fact that the Colts finished with just four wins in 2022. So a portion of the schedule includes teams who finished in third place in their respective divisions just as Indy did.

With a rookie quarterback, expectations should be tempered. However, the perceived easier strength of schedule could lend its way to a smoother transition for a team that introduced 12 rookies via the draft.

The 2023 schedule will be announced at 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 11.

Originally posted on Colts Wire