Final consensus NFL Draft rankings — and Friday’s hits and misses

Let’s take our final look at our consensus draft rankings — and which teams might have made mistakes on Friday.

Starting on Tuesday, we brought you our annual consensus draft prospect ranking based on lists from five sources: ESPN, Pro Football Focus, CBS Sports, Pro Football Network and Draftek. On Friday, we updated that list following the first round — and now with Day 3 in front of us, we’re taking our final look at the top 100 prospects still remaining.

Below the table, we’ll detail some hits (and misses) from Friday night’s picks.

As the fourth round of the draft gets underway, three players expected to go in the second round will still be available: Oregon wide receiver Troy Franklin (ranked 44th), Iowa State cornerback T.J. Tampa (49th) and Washington State safety Jaden Hicks (59th).

13 players expected to be taken in the third round also remain on the board — including Texas tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders (65th), Texas Tech safety Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (72nd), Central Florida wide receiver Javon Baker (73rd), Oregon defensive lineman Brandon Dorlus (77th), Virginia wideout Malik Washington (81st), North Carolina wide receiver Devontez Walker (82nd), Kansas defensive end Austin Booker (83rd) and Boston College guard Christian Mahogany (96th).

A significant number of players have been selected earlier than the rankings would have predicted. The Arizona Cardinals’ picks of Illinois tight end Tip Reiman (taken 90 spots early at 82nd overall) and Illinois tackle Isaiah Adams (70 picks early at 71) were two of the worst. But the Las Vegas Raiders’ selection of Maryland tackle Delmar Glaze at 77 was a reach of 98 positions. But so far, the pick with the greatest perceived value has been the Pittsburgh Steelers’ selection of linebacker Payton Wilson, who was taken 55 spots later than expected at 98.

Still, the reaches haven’t been as bad as they were a year ago. Through the first three rounds of the 2023 draft, the average pick was 13.5 spots ahead of expectation. (In 2022, picks averaged only 4.6 selections ahead). This year, picks have been made an average of 10.1 positions early. Seven players have been taken at least two rounds early and 11 were selected more than a round ahead of expectation.

The Kansas City Chiefs have had good perceived value with their picks. While Texas wide receiver Xavier Worthy was a seven-spot reach at the 28th pick, BYU tackle Kingsley Suamataia’s pick at 63 was 17 positions later than expected. Through two days, Kansas City has the sixth-best reach score.

The Chiefs now have five picks remaining:

• Round 4, Pick 131
• Round 4, Pick 133 (comp pick from Buffalo)
• Round 5, Pick 159 (from Cowboys)
• Round 6, Pick 211 (comp pick from San Francisco)
• Round 7, Pick 248 (from Buffalo)